climate-uk
Not The Long-Range Forecast
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home Forecast for June 2014: RATHER WARM; DRY IN THE EAST & SOUTH, WET IN THE NORTHWEST
                       
this month Stronger than normal westerly winds are likely during June with below average pressure in
northern districts and above average pressure in southern parts, though the first ten days
last month of the month are expected to be mostly anticyclonic and therefore predominately dry.
                       
earlier months Mean temperature during June 2014 is predicted to be close to the normal in northern and
western Scotland, northwest England and north Wales, and in Northern Ireland, while it
flow indices should be somewhat above average in all eastern, central and southern parts of England
and Wales.                    
weather-uk                        
Rainfall is forecast to range from near or rather above normal in western and northern
Scotland, northwest England, north Wales and Northern Ireland, to below normal in all
eastern, central and southern parts of England and Wales.        
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be near normal in western and northern Scotland,  
northwest England, north Wales and Northern Ireland, but above normal in all eastern,
central and southern parts of England and Wales.          
                       
Anomalies: CET +1.2 degC E&W rain 70% E&W sun 112% Philip Eden 140529
                       
                       
Forecast for May 2014: MOSTLY DRY AND WARM FIRST HALF, MORE UNSETTLED LATER  
                       
The first half of the month is expected to be mainly dry and rather warm, while the second
half should be marginally on the cool side and rather wet. But the differences from average
in both halves are likely to be small.              
                       
Mean maximum temperature during May 2014 is predicted to be close to the long-term
average most parts of the UK, while the mean minimum temperature for the month may be
slightly above the average.                
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from rather above normal in western and northern Scotland,
northwest England, north Wales and Northern Ireland, to below normal in eastern, central
and southern parts of England.              
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be below normal in western and northern Scotland,
northwest England, north Wales and Northern Ireland, but close to the normal in eastern
Scotland, northeast England and south Wales, and maybe a little above normal in East
Anglia, the Midlands and much of southern England.          
                       
Anomalies: CET +0.2 degC E&W rain 95% E&W sun 100% Philip Eden 140428
                       
                       
Forecast for April 2014: WARM FIRST WEEK, THEN RATHER COLDER; GENERALLY DRY  
                       
The first ten days are expected to be rather changeable, but with small amounts of rain in
eastern, central and southern districts, and the first week or so will be quite warm. Thereafter
some rather cold episodes are likely, though not sufficient to bring the monthly average
below the long-term average.                
                       
Mean maximum temperature during April 2014 is predicted to be above the long-term
average most parts of the UK, while the mean minimum temperature for the month will
probably be close to the average.              
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from near normal in western Scotland, northwest England, north
Wales and Northern Ireland, to rather below normal in eastern, central and southern parts of
the UK. There should be dry episodes during the second and fourth weeks.    
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be near or rather below normal in western Scotland,
northwest England, north Wales and Northern Ireland, but above normal in eastern  
Scotland, northeast England, the Midlands, East Anglia, south Wales, and all of southern
England.                    
                       
Anomalies: CET +0.7 degC E&W rain 75% E&W sun 110% Philip Eden 140329
                       
                       
Forecast for March 2014: MUCH DRIER; VERY MILD FIRST HALF THEN RATHER COLDER
                       
March will see a continuation of rather changeable weather, but with higher pressure over
the entire country than in either January and February there will be considerably less rain
especially in eastern, central and southern parts of the UK.        
                       
Mean maximum temperature during March 2014 is expected to be slightly above the
long-term average in all regions except northern and western Scotland and Northern Ireland
where it is likely to be close to the long-term average. Mean minimum temperature for the
month will probably be close to or a little below the average. Overall, March is expected to
be rather less mild, relatively speaking, than February was.        
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from above normal in northern and western Scotland and
northwest England, to near or a little below normal in eastern, central and southern England.
There should be a short drier episode during the first week, and a rather longer dry spell
during the last ten days of the month              
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be below normal in northern and western Scotland, but
above normal in eastern Scotland, northeast England, the Midlands, East Anglia, south
Wales, and all of southern England.              
                       
Anomalies: CET +0.5 degC E&W rain 95% E&W sun 115% Philip Eden 140227
                       
                       
Forecast for February 2014: MAINLY VERY DISTURBED BUT A QUIETER SPELL AFTER MID-MONTH
                       
February is expected to continue the very unsettled spell with heavy rain at times, though
late-February will probably bring some rather colder and drier weather, though this episode
is likely to last for less than a week.              
is likely to last for less than a week.                
Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperature during February 2014 are likely to be
above average in all regions except northern and western Scotland where mean temperature
is likely to be close to the long-term average. Broadly speaking, February is expected to be
rather less mild than January was.              
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from well above normal in northern and western Scotland,
Northern Ireland, northwest England, Wales and the West Country, to slightly above normal
in eastern Scotland and northeast England.            
                       
Sunshine totals are again expected to be below normal in northern and western Scotland,
Northern Ireland and northwest England, but above normal in eastern Scotland, northeast
England, the Midlands and East Anglia.            
                       
Anomalies: CET +1.0 degC E&W rain 135% E&W sun 115% Philip Eden 140129
                       
                       
Forecast for January 2014: VERY DISTURBED BUT ALSO VERY MILD      
                       
January is expected to be very unsettled throughout but the majority of days will be mild or
very mild. Rain will probably fall frequently in large amounts in northern and western
Scotland, Northern Ireland, northwest England and Wales. There may be one or two brief
cold spells, but cold days are likely to come in ones and twos.      
                       
Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperature during January 2014 are likely to be
above average in all regions, and well above average in eastern Scotland and NE England.
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from well above normal in northern and western regions of the
UK, to near or slightly above normal in northeast England and East Anglia.    
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be below normal in northern and western Scotland,
Northern Ireland and northwest England, but above normal in eastern Scotland, northeast
England, the Midlands and East Anglia.            
                       
Anomalies: CET +1.8 degC E&W rain 128% E&W sun 102% Philip Eden 131229
                       
                       
                       
Forecast for December 2013: A DRY MONTH WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
                       
December should contain both mild and cold spells, but it is expected to be drier than
average over England, Wales, and eastern Scotland. During the colder episodes, which
may well occur during the second and fourth weeks, some frost and snow are likely, even in
southern districts.                  
                       
Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperature during December 2013 are expected
to range from near or slightly above the long-term normal in western and northern Scotland
to below normal in central and southern parts of England and Wales.    
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from above normal in northern and western Scotland to below
normal in eastern, central and southern England, south Wales, and parts of east Scotland.
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be near normal in northern and western Scotland, but
above normal in most other parts of the country.          
                       
Anomalies: CET -1.0 degC E&W rain 83% E&W sun 113% Philip Eden 131128
                       
                       
Forecast for November 2013: RATHER WARM START, THEN PROGRESSIVELY COLDER  
                       
November should start with a week to ten days of warm but rather changeable weather,
though most of the rain will probably be in northern and western districts. A rather colder,
anticyclonic spell can be expected around mid-month, followed by a northerly type during
the last ten days which may well bring the first snows of the season.      
                       
Mean maximum temperature during November 2013 is expected to be rather below the
long-term average in all parts of the UK with the warm start cancelled out by the longer cold
spell thereafter. Mean min temperature should also be below the average in most regions.
                       
Rainfall is forecast to range from above or much above normal in northern and western
districts of the UK to near or slightly below normal in eastern, central and southern England.
                       
Sunshine totals are predicted to be near or a little below normal in northern and western
Scotland, but above normal in most other parts of the country.      
                       
Anomalies: CET -0.8 degC E&W rain 100% E&W sun 110% Philip Eden 131029
                       
                       
Forecast for October 2013: DRY & WARM FIRST HALF, THEN SOMEWHAT COLDER  
                       
Much of the first half of October is forecast to be mostly dry and quite warm though there
will also probably be occasional days of general rain. The second half of the month is
predicted to be rather cold at times, especially by night, and there will be further isolated
days of rain.                    
                       
Mean maximum temperature during October 2013 is expected to be slightly above the
long-term average in most parts of the UK, but mean minimum temperature should be close
to the average in most regions. The first half of the month is forecast to be rather warm,
but there will be cooler spells during the second half.          
                       
Rainfall is predicted to range from near normal in western and northern Scotland to below
normal in most other regions, and may be well below normal in parts of the Midlands, East
Anglia and Southeast England.              
                       
Sunshine totals are expected to be near or a little below normal in northern and western
Scotland, but above normal in most other parts of the country.      
                       
Anomalies: CET +0.6 degC E&W rain 70% E&W sun 116% Philip Eden 130928
                       
                       
Forecast for September 2013: DRY & WARM AT FIRST, THEN RATHER CHANGEABLE  
                       
Most of the first week of September is expected to be fair and quite warm, but thereafter the
weather is likely to become rather unsettled and somewhat cooler with occasional days of
heavy rain. A further short fine spell is possible towards the end of the month.  
                       
Mean maximum temperature during September 2013 is expected to be close to the long-
term average in most parts of the UK, but rather below the average in northern and western
Scotland. Mean minimum temperature should be close to or a little above normal in all parts
of the country. The first week is forecast to be rather warm, but a cooler episode is likely
around mid-month.                  
                       
Rainfall is predicted to range from above normal in western and northern Scotland to near
normal over the bulk of the country, and to slightly below normal in parts of southern England.
                       
Sunshine totals are expected to be rather below normal in Scotland and Northern Ireland, but
slightly above normal locally in southern England and south Wales.      
                       
Anomalies: CET +0.2 degC E&W rain 100% E&W sun 100% Philip Eden 130829
                       
                       
Forecast for August 2013: CHANGEABLE TILL MID-MONTH THEN MOSTLY DRY; QUITE WARM
                       
Rather changeable and occasionally cyclonic weather is expected for roughly the first half of
the month, bringing variable temperatures, occasional very warm days, and frequent falls of
rain, heavy and thundery at times. High pressure is expected to return for an extended
period during the second half of August, accompanied by dry and quite sunny weather; it
should also be warm, but a further sustained heat-wave is considered unlikely.  
                       
Mean maximum temperature during August 2013 is expected to be above the long-term
average in all parts of the UK, although the anomaly is not expected to be as great as in July.
Several very warm nights during the first half of the month followed by appreciably cooler
nights during the second half, should result in a mean minimum temperature only slightly
above the average.                  
                       
Rainfall is forecast to be generally below the long-term average in spite of the changeable
nature of the first fortnight. However, heavy localised downpours associated with thunder-
storms are expected to occur more frequently than usual until the third week of August,
resulting in some locally high totals, and the monthly total may well be close to the long-term
average in East Anglia, the Midlands, and Southeast England. Overall, the second half of the
month will be drier than the first half.              
                       
Sunshine totals are expected to be near to or slightly below the long-term average in most
parts of the UK. However, northern and western Scotland and Northern Ireland may have
slightly above-average aggregates.              
                       
Anomalies: CET +1.0 degC E&W rain 95% E&W sun 90% Philip Eden 130729
                       
                       
Forecast for July 2013: DRY AND QUITE WARM FIRST HALF, THEN DETERIORATING  
                       
After two or three days of unsettled weather at the beginning of July, much of the first half of
the month is expected to be warm and dry. A deterioration is likely around or just after
mid-month, and the remainder of July will probably be rather changeable and quite cool,
though with most of the rain falling in northern and western parts of the UK.    
                       
Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures are forecast to be a little below the
1981-2010 normal in most parts of the country, but close to the normal in East Anglia and
Southeast England.                  
                       
After a mostly dry first half, the bulk of July's rain is likely to fall during the second half.
Overall, total rainfall for the month is expected to range from somewhat above normal in
northern and western Scotland, to well below normal in eastern and central parts of England.
                       
Sunshine duration is predicted to be generally within 10 per cent of normal, except in the
Midlands and Southeast England where it should be a rather sunny month.    
                       
Anomalies: CET -0.2 degC E&W rain 82% E&W sun 103% Philip Eden 130628
                       
                       
Forecast for June 2013: MOSTLY DRY, QUITE SUNNY, AND RATHER WARM    
                       
June is expected to have many warm or rather warm days, though the weather will be
thundery at times. After a fairly warm first week, a rather cooler spell is likely around  
mid-month, but a further warm spell is likely during the second half of the month.  
                       
Mean maximum temperature is forecast to be above the long-term average throughout the
UK, while mean minimum temperature is also likely to be above the average, but by a
smaller margin.                  
                       
Rainfall is predicted to be somewhat below the 1981-2010 average over most central and
eastern parts of England and Scotland, though it will probably be near normal in southwest
England, Wales, Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Due to the thundery nature of the
month's rainfall there will probably be large variations in small distances.    
                       
Sunshine duration is expected to be above the long-term average in eastern and central
districts, but near normal in western Scotland, Northern Ireland, northwest England, Wales,
and the West Country.                
                       
Anomalies: CET +1.0 degC E&W rain 75% E&W sun 115% Philip Eden 130529
                       
                       
Forecast for May 2013: VARIABLE TEMPERATURES; MOSTLY DRY AND QUITE SUNNY  
                       
Temperatures during May are expected to be very variable, though overall monthly means
are likely to be slightly above the long-term average. The first week is forecast to be rather
warm, then a colder interlude is likely around mid-month, before warm weather returns later
on in the month.                  
                       
Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures are predicted to be somewhat
above the long-term average in many parts of the UK, though in northern and western
Scotland and Northern Ireland mean temperatures will probably be near normal.  
                       
Rainfall is forecast to be rather below normal over most of England, Wales and eastern
Scotland, but may be near or a little above normal in northern and western Scotland and
Northern Ireland.                  
                       
Sunshine amounts should be above the 1981-2010 average in most parts of the UK, but
may be near average in western and northern Scotland.        
                       
Anomalies: CET +0.8 degC E&W rain 80% E&W sun 112% Philip Eden 130428